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Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moodys Analytics, addressed the topic of mortgage delinquencies in a recentX post.

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Read on formore details about this indicator of recession.

Mortgage delinquencies alone wont lead to a recession, Zandi explained.

What Is the Delinquency Rate Now?

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The seasonally adjusted delinquency rate was 3.98% of all loans outstanding.

Compared with the third quarter of 2024, thats an increase of 6 basis points.

And year over year, its a 10-basis-point increase.

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Government loans are also rolling to later stages of delinquency, Walsh explained.

This last happened during the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic.

According toStatista, the mortgage delinquency rate surpassed 8% during the pandemic.

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